Match stats

Logo Leeds United Logo Newcastle United
43 Ball possession (%) 57
10 Goal attempts 8
1 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked shots 3

Leeds United vs Newcastle United: prediction & betting odds 30 August 2025

The Matchday 3 Premier League encounter between Leeds and Newcastle will take place on August 30 at Elland Road. Leeds vs. Newcastle: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Leeds

Daniel Farke's side made a strong return to the Premier League with a 1-0 win at home against Everton. However, they then traveled to Arsenal and suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat. Notably, in their last 11 Premier League matches, Leeds has secured only one victory (2 draws and 8 losses).

Forward Patrick Bamford has left the club.

  • At least 3 goals have been scored in 6 of the team's last 7 league matches.
  • Both teams scored in 13 of Leeds' last 15 Premier League games.
  • The team has a 9-match scoring streak at home in the Premier League.

Predicted lineup for Leeds (4-3-3)

Lucas Perry – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ao Tanaka, Ilia Gruev, Anton Stach – Daniel James, Degnand Gnonto, Joel Piroe.

Newcastle

Eddie Howe's side has yet to secure a win in the current season. However, the initial fixtures were challenging: in the first match, they drew 0-0 away against Aston Villa, and in the next game, they lost 2-3 at home to Liverpool. Interestingly, they could have drawn with Liverpool but conceded the decisive goal in the 100th minute. Newcastle's winless streak in the Premier League now stands at four matches (1 draw and 3 losses).

  • No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of the team's last 7 Premier League matches.
  • Newcastle is unbeaten in their last 4 away matches in the Premier League (2 draws and 2 losses).
  • The team has not scored more than 1 goal in 7 of their last 8 away league games.

Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-3-3)

Nick Pope – Fabian Schar, Valentino Livramento, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn – Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Sandro Tonali – Anthony Gordon, Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes.

Defender Fabian Schar, midfielders Joelinton and Sandro Tonali may miss the match due to injuries. Forward Anthony Gordon will miss 3 matches due to suspension.

Referee

Peter Bankes (England)

Matches – 25 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 95;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 20%.

Leeds vs. Newcastle: Match Prediction

Daniel Farke's side surprisingly sits above Newcastle in the league table. However, the visitors faced tough fixtures in the first two rounds, which explains their lack of wins so far. Easier matches against weaker opponents are ahead, so Eddie Howe's side is expected to either secure a win or score several goals. In the previous round, Newcastle managed to score twice against the reigning English champions.

The hosts are also likely to find the net in the upcoming match. Leeds has scored in their last 9 home Premier League games, although they have also conceded in 8 of these matches. Newcastle has scored in 12 of their last 16 away games, while Eddie Howe's side has conceded in 7 of their last 10 away Premier League matches.

My prediction – Both teams to score – yes

Betting tips 30 August 2025

Newcastle United’s problems with picking up points continue, as they have slumped towards the relegation zone. Leeds United are three places above them and can move further clear if they win the head-to-head.

Leeds United also leave a mixed impression. In Matchweek 1 they managed to beat a decent Everton side (1:0), but in Matchweek 2 they suffered a 0:5 defeat at Emirates Stadium to Arsenal. Last season in the Championship the squad barely faltered: one defeat and four draws alongside 18 wins and 66 goals scored. In the English Premier League the level of resistance will, of course, be stronger. This is what Leeds United produced against Everton: 21 shots, 3 big chances and 2.13 xG — that is leader-level output. Can the squad post similar numbers against Newcastle United?

We can also look at how Newcastle United played their first away game at Aston Villa. They were held 0:0, although they were very dangerous. The team posted 1.43 xG, and the duo of the two Anthonys — Anthony Gordon and Anthony Elanga — combined for over 1.00 between them: 0.55 and 0.57 xG respectively. That activity translated into shots on target worth 0.98 xG in the meeting with Liverpool (2:3). Newcastle United scored twice when they were down to ten men. The problem, however, is that Anthony Gordon was sent off following a clash with Virgil van Dijk.

Anthony Gordon will be absent, but Newcastle United still have attacking potential. Together with Leeds United at home, the two squads should produce a high-scoring game.  

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
4/5
Bet now

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Odds

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Leeds United
23.08.25
Arsenal
Leeds United
L
18.08.25
Leeds United
Everton
W
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Newcastle United
25.08.25
Newcastle United
Liverpool
L
16.08.25
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
D
More matches

H2H: Leeds United — Newcastle United

Premier League 2022-2023
13.05.23
Leeds United
Newcastle United
31.12.22
Newcastle United
Leeds United
Premier League 2021-2022
22.01.22
Leeds United
Newcastle United
17.09.21
Newcastle United
Leeds United
Premier League 2020-2021
26.01.21
Newcastle United
Leeds United
16.12.20
Leeds United
Newcastle United

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2
Chelsea
3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3
Arsenal
3 2 0 1 6:1 6
4
Tottenham Hotspur
3 2 0 1 5:1 6
5
Everton
3 2 0 1 5:3 6
6
Sunderland
3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7
Bournemouth
3 2 0 1 4:4 6
8
Crystal Palace
3 1 2 0 4:1 5
9
Manchester United
3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10
Nottingham Forest
3 1 1 1 4:5 4
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
12
Leeds United
3 1 1 1 1:5 4
13
Manchester City
3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14
Burnley
3 1 0 2 4:6 3
15
Brentford
3 1 0 2 3:5 3
16
West Ham United
3 1 0 2 4:8 3
17
Newcastle United
3 0 2 1 2:3 2
18
Fulham
3 0 2 1 2:4 2
19
Aston Villa
3 0 1 2 0:4 1
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2
Sunderland
2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3
Chelsea
2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4
Brighton and Hove Albion
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5
Leeds United
2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 5:0 3
7
Tottenham Hotspur
2 1 0 1 3:1 3
8
Everton
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10
Manchester United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11
Nottingham Forest
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12
Burnley
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
13
Brentford
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
14
Crystal Palace
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15
Fulham
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16
Aston Villa
2 0 1 1 0:3 1
17
Manchester City
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18
West Ham United
1 0 0 1 1:5 0
19
Newcastle United
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Crystal Palace
2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3
Chelsea
1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4
Arsenal
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
5
Tottenham Hotspur
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6
Everton
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7
Bournemouth
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
8
Manchester City
2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9
West Ham United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10
Newcastle United
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
11
Manchester United
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12
Nottingham Forest
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13
Fulham
2 0 1 1 1:3 1
14
Sunderland
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
15
Brighton and Hove Albion
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16
Leeds United
1 0 0 1 0:5 0
17
Burnley
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
18
Brentford
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
19
Aston Villa
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 0 0 1 0:1 0

Team lineups

Leeds United

Daniel Farke
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Lucas Perri
gk. 0 0
Gabriel Gudmundsson
df. 0 0
Jayden Ian Bogle
df. 2 0
Joe Rodon
df. 4 0
Pascal Augustus Struijk
df. 2 0
Anton Levi Stach
mf. 0 0
Daniel James
mf. 0 0
Ilia Gruev
mf. 4 0
Sean Longstaff
mf. 0 0
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
fw. 2 0
Lukas Nmecha
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Karl Darlow
gk. 0 0
Jaka Bijol
df. 0 0
James Justin
df. 0 0
Sebastiaan Bornauw
df. 0 0
Brenden Russell Aaronson
mf. 2 0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
fw. 0 0
Jack Harrison
fw. 0 0
Joël Mohammed Ramzan Piroe
fw. 2 0
Noah Okafor
fw. 0 0
Newcastle United

Edward John Frank Howe
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Nick Pope
gk. 0 0
Dan Burn
df. 7 0
Fabian Schär
df. 0 0
Kieran Trippier
df. 5 0
Sven Botman
df. 0 0
Valentino Francisco Livramento
df. 0 0
Bruno Guimaraes
mf. 8 0
Jacob Matthew Ramsey
mf. 0 0
Jacob Murphy
mf. 0 0
Sandro Tonali
mf. 0 0
William Idamudia Daugard Osula
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Aaron Ramsdale
gk. 0 0
Emil Krafth
df. 0 0
Jamaal Lascelles
df. 6 0
Lewis Kieran Hall
df. 0 0
Malick Laye Thiaw
df. 0 0
Harvey Barnes
mf. 0 0
Joseph Willock
mf. 0 0
Lewis Miley
mf. 0 0
Anthony David Junior Elanga
fw. 0 0
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